Nick’s Picks — Week 7

2 years ago Nick

Lock Pick:

Green Bay Packers (-4.5) v Washington Commanders (+4.5)

Winner: Green Bay (-220)

Green Bay was my lock pick two weeks ago when they lost to the New York Giants in London. They just lost to the other New Jersey team last week in the Jets. Can they really lose 3 straight?! It will look real ugly for the Packers if they lose 3 consecutive games to seemingly sub-par opponents. I think this is the week Aaron Rodgers figured it out. He has to come to Buffalo next week so the Packers cannot really fall to 3-4. Green Bay wins this one.

Upset Pick: 

New York Giants (+3) v Jacksonville Jaguars (-3)

Winner: New York Giants (+140)

This has to be the first time in history a 5-1 team is an underdog facing a 2-4 team. If the 2-4 team were someone like the current juggernauts in the NFL I would understand. I said two weeks ago how much I don’t believe in Jacksonville, when I picked the Houston Texans to beat them straight up when they were 7 point underdogs. Even though the Giants are the most questionable 5-1 team in NFL history, you have to ride with them. The Jags just aren’t good (yet) and anyone who thinks they are haven’t left the off-season hype train. Giants go to 6-1 this week. 

Value Pick:

Kansas City Chiefs (-2) v San Francisco 49ers (+2)

Winner: Kansas City (-135)

The New York Giants can also be a value pick at +140. But with the 49ers acquiring star RB Christian McCaffrey from the Carolina Panthers, the 49ers jump into instant Super Bowl contention. There is no better opponent to come to town than the Kansas City Chiefs at -135. The Chiefs just came off a tough loss to the Buffalo Bills and I think the 49ers are going to be a little too overhyped in this one. Although it will most likely be a close game, I think Kansas City calmly comes into Santa Clara and wins. The line has now shifted slightly since the 49ers got McCaffrey, which made the Chiefs moneyline a little more attractive. I also never bet against Mahomes and Kelce. Chiefs win.

Rest of Week 7 winners:

Titans beat Colts

Bucs beat Panthers

Cowboys beat Lions

Bengals beat Falcons

Ravens beat Browns

Broncos beat Jets

Raiders beat Texans

Chargers beat Seahawks

Dolphins beat Steelers

Patriots beat Bears

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